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Bullet-train planners face huge engineering challenge

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The probability of an earthquake occurring as a train is going over a fault is “very small,” Gillam said. Some experts, however, say the probability is not inconsequential, considering high-speed trains are expected to be running as frequently as every five minutes in each direction.

Stephen Mahin, director of the Pacific Earthquake Engineering Research Center at UC Berkeley, said the bullet train’s operating plan suggests a “strong probability” that a train could be going over a fault if it ruptures. But good engineering can reduce the risks.

“It is not that it can’t be done,” he said.

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